Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Oleksandra Oliynykova		Simona Waltert

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.82	2	Watch
	1.85	2.03
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.83	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	2.01 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandra Oliynykova
52.5%

Simona Waltert
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandra Oliynykova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandra Oliynykova's form might have worsened.

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simona Waltert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandra Oliynykova than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandra Oliynykova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Simona Waltert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oleksandra Oliynykova - Simona Waltert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oliynykova is ranked WTA: 70. Waltert is ranked WTA: 97.

Oliynykova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Waltert is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Oliynykova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oliynykova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Anna Bondar - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Lilli Tagger	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.26	Polina Kudermetova - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Ekaterine Gorgodze	Canceled ✺
08.03.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Anhelina Kalinina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWL?L
- Simona Waltert
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Simona Waltert - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Simona Waltert - Despina Papamichail	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Maja Chwalinska - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Rebeka Masarova - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Simona Waltert - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Simona Waltert	1:2

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