Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Oliver Crawford		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.49	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.49	2.50	Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
63.6%

Rio Noguchi
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Oliver Crawford - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 230. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219.

Crawford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crawford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Crawford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Oliver Crawford - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Renta Tokuda - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Hiroki Moriya - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Linang Xiao - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

Oliver Crawford - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide