Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Final

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Oliver Crawford		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.16	1.75
	2.00	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
45.7%

Sho Shimabukuro
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crawford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 230. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198.

Crawford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shimabukuro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crawford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Oliver Crawford - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
30.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Renta Tokuda - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Hiroki Moriya - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Masamichi Imamura - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWW?

Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide