Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.3
	3.19	1.37
	1.53	2.40	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	1.7	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.25)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
36.9%

Yosuke Watanuki
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Watanuki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Watanuki (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 148.

Noguchi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Watanuki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Watanuki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yosuke Watanuki - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Linang Xiao - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLL?
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW

Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide