Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Referee: Yan B. (Chn)


	Sho Shimabukuro		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.62	2.38
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
58.9%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shimabukuro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 57.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWW?L
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Michael Zheng - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1
08.04.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2
14.11.22	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. retired
06.08.19	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide