Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seoul, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Omar Jasika		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.35	1.27	Watch
	3.53	1.25	Watch
	3.49	1.28	Watch
	3.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.61)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
26.9%

Sho Shimabukuro
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Omar Jasika - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 286. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 195.

Jasika is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shimabukuro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jasika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shimabukuro is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Omar Jasika - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Omar Jasika - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
06.10.25	Omar Jasika - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LL?LL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
18.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?LWWW

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