Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.85	Watch
	1.25	4.09
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.24	3.82	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
72.8%

Sergey Fomin
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 212. Fomin is ranked ATP: 490.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shimabukuro is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWW
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.22	Sergey Fomin - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Sho Shimabukuro - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide