Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Orlando Luz		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	4.5	1.17
	5.55	1.13	Watch
	4.5	1.17
	4.54	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.48)	1.16 ↓ (1.18)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
19.5%

Henrique Rocha
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Orlando Luz - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Luz (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Luz is ranked ATP: 917. Rocha is ranked ATP: 172.

Rocha is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rocha is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Orlando Luz - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Orlando Luz - Natan Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Orlando Luz - Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL
- Henrique Rocha
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Yibing Wu - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Orlando Luz	1:2

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