Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Otto Virtanen		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.39	3.22
	1.37	2.83	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)	2.98 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
68.6%

Aleksandar Vukic
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Otto Virtanen - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Vukic will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 134. Vukic is ranked ATP: 96.

Virtanen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vukic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vukic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtanen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.45%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Otto Virtanen - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Otto Virtanen - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Otto Virtanen - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Rinky Hijikata - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Otto Virtanen	2:0
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Otto Virtanen - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0

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