Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Otto Virtanen		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.76
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.09	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
45.6%

Titouan Droguet
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Otto Virtanen - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Titouan Droguet will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 130. Droguet is ranked ATP: 114.

Virtanen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Droguet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Droguet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Droguet will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sebastian Baez - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW

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