Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Otto Virtanen		Richard Berankis

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.79	1.98
	1.8	2.05
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.95	Watch
	1.82	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)	1.92 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
51.5%

Richard Berankis
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Richard Berankis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Berankis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Berankis than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Berankis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Otto Virtanen - Richard Berankis Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
08.03.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Otto Virtanen - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.23	Damir Dzumhur - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Richard Berankis
ATP Challenger
09.03.23	Hugo Grenier - Richard Berankis	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Richard Berankis - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Richard Berankis - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
09.02.23	Richard Berankis - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Otto Virtanen - Richard Berankis