Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Otto Virtanen		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.13	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.18	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
43.4%

Tallon Griekspoor
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Otto Virtanen - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Griekspoor (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Griekspoor (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tallon Griekspoor will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallon Griekspoor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 131. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 25.

Virtanen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Griekspoor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Virtanen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Dubai
22.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
14.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WW?WW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

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