Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Tallon Griekspoor		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.67	2.31
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.57	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	2.29 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
58.7%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 50%). Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 29. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 100.

Carreno Busta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Griekspoor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Griekspoor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
06.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLL?
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
09.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
03.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Tallon Griekspoor	Canceled
ATP Australian Open
18.01.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:3

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