Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Otto Virtanen		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
			Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.08	1.4
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.17)	1.36 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
30.9%

Alexandre Muller
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otto Virtanen's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muller will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 133. Muller is ranked ATP: 88.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Virtanen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Muller is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtanen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Ugo Blanchet - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar	Muller A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller	2:0

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