Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Baez		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.18
	1.33	3.18	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
69.6%

Titouan Droguet
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Sebastian Baez - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Droguet will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Baez (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Droguet (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Baez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 4 - 80%). Droguet (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 50. Droguet is ranked ATP: 122.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baez is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Baez - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Adam Walton - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Moise Kouame - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Jerome Kym - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

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