Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Roman Safiullin		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.66
	2.15	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
42.4%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Roman Safiullin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.

Safiullin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Llamas Ruiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Llamas Ruiz might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Elmer Moller - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
20.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?LW

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