Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Elmer Moller		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.39
	2.93	1.44
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	1.4 (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
33.5%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elmer Moller - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 122. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.

Moller is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llamas Ruiz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Llamas Ruiz could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Elmer Moller - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Elmer Moller - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Javier Barranco Cosano	Canceled ✺
14.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWW?L

Upcoming Matches