Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.31	3.72
	1.27	3.39	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.45	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	3.33 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
71.8%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frederico Ferreira Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frederico Ferreira Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 238.

Ofner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ferreira Silva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferreira Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ofner will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Frederico Ferreira Silva - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - George Loffhagen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
02.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1
ATP Challenger
05.03.21	Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1
22.02.21	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide