Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.32	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3.02	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.3	3.21	Watch
	1.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
69.5%

Petr Nesterov
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 144., and Nesterov is ranked ATP: 298..

In recent outings, Llamas Ruiz has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nesterov is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nesterov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Llamas Ruiz for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Carles Hernandez - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Hynek Barton - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Charles Chen - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches