Match Info

Date: 20 September 2021, Monday


	Paula Badosa		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.27	3.8	Watch
	1.24	3.75
	1.29	3.97
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.3	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
74.8%

Varvara Gracheva
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gracheva is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badosa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Badosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gracheva is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gracheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Ostrava
20.09.21	Caroline Garcia - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.21	Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
31.08.21	Paula Badosa - Alison Van Uytvanck	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
20.08.21	Karolina Pliskova - Paula Badosa	Badosa G. P. retired ✺
19.08.21	Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?LW?W
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Ostrava
19.09.21	Varvara Gracheva - Oceane Dodin	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Varvara Gracheva - Anna Danilina	2:0 ✺
WTA Luxembourg
14.09.21	Varvara Gracheva - Mandy Minella	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.21	Varvara Gracheva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
02.09.21	Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
02.09.21	Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva	0:2
WTA Charleston
05.04.21	Varvara Gracheva - Paula Badosa	1:2
WTA US Open
31.08.20	Varvara Gracheva - Paula Badosa	2:0

Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide