Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Varvara Gracheva		Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

	1	2
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.55	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.3
	3.58	1.33
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.58	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.69)	1.3 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
26.8%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Varvara Gracheva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 18 - 50%). Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 18 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Gracheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gracheva is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pavlyuchenkova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA US Open
02.09.21	Paula Badosa - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
31.08.21	Varvara Gracheva - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:1 ✺
WTA Chicago
27.08.21	Varvara Gracheva - Alize Cornet	1:2 ✺
27.08.21	Marta Kostyuk - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
24.08.21	Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva	Bogdan A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLW?
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA US Open
02.09.21	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	1:2 ✺
31.08.21	Alison Riske-Amritraj - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.21	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Bernarda Pera	Canceled ✺
WTA Montreal
11.08.21	Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:1 ✺
10.08.21	Caroline Garcia - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Moscow
17.10.19	Varvara Gracheva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	1:2

Varvara Gracheva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide