Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Benjamin Hassan

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.65	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
55.5%

Benjamin Hassan
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Benjamin Hassan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Hassan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Hassan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hassan will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Hassan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 107. Hassan is ranked ATP: 209.

Kotov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hassan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hassan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.64%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Colton Smith - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Benjamin Hassan
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Benjamin Hassan - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW

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