Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.87	2
	1.82	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
50.5%

Gauthier Onclin
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pavel Kotov - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Users Predictions: Gauthier Onclin will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 262. Onclin is ranked ATP: 246.

Kotov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Onclin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi	Kotov P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	Zhou Y. Retired ✺
12.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 L??WW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Gauthier Onclin - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gauthier Onclin - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Gauthier Onclin - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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