Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Pavel Kotov		Kimmer Coppejans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	2.85
	1.43	2.8
	1.48	2.74
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.46)	2.78 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
66.2%

Kimmer Coppejans
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kimmer Coppejans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimmer Coppejans than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Pavel Kotov - Kimmer Coppejans Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Coppejans will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kotov is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Kimmer Coppejans
ATP Challenger
21.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Adrian Mannarino - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.02.19	Pavel Kotov - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1

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