Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Oleksii Krutykh

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.55
	1.55	2.62
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.9)	2.55 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
62.6%

Oleksii Krutykh
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oleksii Krutykh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksii Krutykh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Pavel Kotov - Oleksii Krutykh Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Krutykh will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krutykh: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Krutykh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krutykh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW
- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Miljan Zekic - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Frederico Ferreira Silva	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
01.04.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Jesper De Jong - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
19.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Pavel Kotov	2:1

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