Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Pavel Kotov		Norbert Gombos

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.42	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.12	5.08	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	2.87 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
66.7%

Norbert Gombos
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Gombos will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gombos: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 2 - 40%). Gombos (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Gombos (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gombos (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 124. Gombos is ranked ATP: 397.

Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gombos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gombos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Miguel Damas - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Nick Hardt - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Norbert Gombos	Gombos N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.21	Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos	0:2

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