Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.6
	1.5	2.55
	1.56	2.61
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
63.2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	0%	17.5%

Sebastian Baez - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
03.03.23	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
24.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Thomaz Bellucci - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Santiago
03.03.23	Dusan Lajovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
16.05.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ITF Tournaments
22.11.19	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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