Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4


	Francisco Comesana		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.51	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
62.8%

Pedro Martinez Portero
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Comesana (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Martinez Portero (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 63. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 94.

Comesana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martinez Portero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Comesana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Comesana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comesana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Nicolas Kicker - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Francis Tiafoe - Francisco Comesana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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