Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Pedro Rodenas		Cyril Vandermeersch

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Pedro Rodenas
55.8%

Cyril Vandermeersch
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Rodenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cyril Vandermeersch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Rodenas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Rodenas is ranked ATP: 828. Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 573.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rodenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Rodenas
ITF Tournaments
28.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Raul Brancaccio - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
28.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Aleksander Chayka - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Abel Forger	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Pedro Rodenas - Cyril Vandermeersch