Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Peyton Stearns		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)	2.26 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
58%

Petra Marcinko
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peyton Stearns's performance.

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petra Marcinko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Peyton Stearns - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stearns will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Marcinko will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stearns: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stearns (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Marcinko (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Stearns (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Stearns (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stearns (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Marcinko (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stearns is ranked WTA: 68. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 81.

Marcinko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stearns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
14.01.26	Peyton Stearns - Olga Danilovic	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Peyton Stearns - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
WTA Auckland
04.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Katie Volynets - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- Petra Marcinko
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Oksana Selekhmeteva	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Sarah Rokusek	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
07.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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