Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.55	2.40	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.21)	2.2 ↓ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
57.4%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlo Alberto Caniato's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Caniato will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caniato: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlo Alberto Caniato will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 139. Caniato is ranked ATP: 492.

Recent form of Herbert has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caniato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Herbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Herbert is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Luka Mikrut - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Johan Nikles - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Tanguy Genier - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Timofey Stepanov - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Carlo Alberto Caniato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide