Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Henrique Rocha		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.72
	2.13	1.69
	2.13	1.74
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (3.25)	1.69 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
44.6%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pierre-Hugues Herbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pierre-Hugues Herbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Henrique Rocha - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Herbert will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 168. Herbert is ranked ATP: 139.

Rocha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Herbert has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2

Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide