Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Polina Iatcenko		Elena Pridankina

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.75	2.12
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.71	2.05	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
53.8%

Elena Pridankina
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Elena Pridankina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Pridankina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Polina Iatcenko - Elena Pridankina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 187. Pridankina is ranked WTA: 191.

Iatcenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pridankina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iatcenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Polina Iatcenko - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Elena Pridankina - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Polina Iatcenko	Jamrichova R. retired ✺
17.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WW?WW
- Elena Pridankina
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Lulu Sun - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Xiaodi You - Elena Pridankina	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Elena Pridankina - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
08.09.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alana Smith - Elena Pridankina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.04.23	Polina Iatcenko - Elena Pridankina	2:0

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