Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Radu Albot		Daniil Ostapenkov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	2.48 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radu Albot
61.9%

Daniil Ostapenkov
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radu Albot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radu Albot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Albot is ranked ATP: 429. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 737.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Albot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albot might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Albot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Radu Albot - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radu Albot
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Radu Albot - Dominik Kellovsky	Canceled ✺
11.01.26	Marcus Walters - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Radu Albot - Ben Jones	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Alexander Ritschard - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jay Clarke - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL
- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Alexandr Binda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	David Eichenseher - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Radu Albot - Daniil Ostapenkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide