Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Rei Sakamoto		Patrick Kypson

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.44	1.6
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.63)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
38.7%

Patrick Kypson
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Patrick Kypson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patrick Kypson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rei Sakamoto - Patrick Kypson Predictions

Users Predictions: Patrick Kypson will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Patrick Kypson will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 291. Kypson is ranked ATP: 240.

Now, both players are in good form.

Kypson could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Kypson will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Patrick Maloney - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Karue Sell - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Masamichi Imamura - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Yi Zhou - Patrick Kypson	Zhou Y. walkover ✺
06.06.25	Patrick Kypson - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWW?W

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