Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.39
	3.21	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.24	1.28	Watch
	3.15	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.64)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
30%

Ben Shelton
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ben Shelton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Reilly Opelka - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 306. Shelton is ranked ATP: 17.

Opelka has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shelton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shelton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shelton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Opelka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Reilly Opelka - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.24	Daniil Medvedev - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
28.08.24	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Ben Shelton - Dominic Thiem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:0

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