Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Reilly Opelka		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.73
	1.53	2.48	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)	2.62 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
63.8%

Francisco Comesana
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francisco Comesana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Reilly Opelka - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Comesana will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Comesana (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Comesana (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Opelka (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Opelka (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Comesana (votes: 6 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 73. Comesana is ranked ATP: 71.

Opelka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Comesana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Opelka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
08.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 ?WLWL

Reilly Opelka - Francisco Comesana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide