The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Learner Tien 54%
Reilly Opelka 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Learner Tien's form might have worsened.
Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reilly Opelka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Learner Tien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
0%
78.6%
Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka Predictions
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 9 - 22%). Opelka will win (votes: 32 - 78%). Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 65.3% – 90.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
H/A, 1st Set - Opelka (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 24 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 Games - Opelka (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 Sets - Opelka (3.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Opelka (votes: 18 - 78.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Tien is ranked ATP: 61.Opelka is ranked ATP: 74.
Tien is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Opelka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Opelka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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