Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Reilly Opelka		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.63	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	2.27 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
58.3%

Jesper De Jong
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 3 - 60%). De Jong (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 87. De Jong is ranked ATP: 92.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Opelka might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Mariano Navone	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Jesper De Jong	3:1 ✺
27.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?LWLW

Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide