Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Reilly Opelka		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.69
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.67)	1.62 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
41.9%

Sebastian Ofner
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ofner will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ofner (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 Games - Ofner (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 25%). Ofner (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 94. Ofner is ranked ATP: 143.

Opelka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ofner has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Opelka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Geneva
17.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse	Opelka R. retired ✺
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL?WW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Geneva
17.05.25	Leo Borg - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
06.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLW?W

Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide