Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Reilly Opelka		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.93	1.47
	2.86	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.73	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.4)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
33.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reilly Opelka's performance.

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taylor Harry Fritz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Reilly Opelka - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 67. Fritz is ranked ATP: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 1.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fritz is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Taylor Harry Fritz - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.88%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Jack Draper - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLW?
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
30.07.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Reilly Opelka	2:1
ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Reilly Opelka - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:3
ATP Antwerp
21.10.20	Taylor Harry Fritz - Reilly Opelka	2:0
ATP Tokyo
30.09.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Reilly Opelka	0:2
ATP Barcelona
22.04.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Reilly Opelka	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.18	Taylor Harry Fritz - Reilly Opelka	2:1
ATP Challenger
27.01.18	Reilly Opelka - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2

Upcoming Matches