Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.9	1.87	Watch
	1.76	2.08	Watch
	1.82	2.09
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	2.04 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
53.3%

Nuno Borges
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	0%	20.7%

Reilly Opelka - Nuno Borges Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Opelka (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Borges (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Reilly Opelka will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Borges (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 67. Borges is ranked ATP: 50.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Opelka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW?LW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Nuno Borges - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Nuno Borges - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Nuno Borges - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Reilly Opelka - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide