Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Rinky Hijikata		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.93	1.29
	3.55	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.97)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
25.9%

Corentin Moutet
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Rinky Hijikata - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Hijikata (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Hijikata (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 2 - 40%). Moutet (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 82. Moutet is ranked ATP: 83.

Hijikata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moutet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moutet is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Lloyd Harris	Harris L. retired ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Corentin Moutet - Harold Mayot	Moutet C. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?LL

Rinky Hijikata - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide