Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Rinky Hijikata		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.38	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.54
	2.44	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2)	1.56 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
40%

Fabio Fognini
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabio Fognini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabio Fognini will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 84. Fognini is ranked ATP: 112.

Recent matches Hijikata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Lloyd Harris	Harris L. retired ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Alexander Ritschard - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide