Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Rinky Hijikata		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.40	2.87	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
55.2%

Mattia Bellucci
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinky Hijikata's performance.

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinky Hijikata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rinky Hijikata will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 115. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 110.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hijikata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Acapulco
22.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Michael Mmoh - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mattia Bellucci	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
24.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Rinky Hijikata	2:0

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