Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Laugero L. (Ita)


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.21	1.4
	3.26	1.39
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.39	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
29.6%

Alex De Minaur
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). De Minaur will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.04.18	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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