Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Francisco Cerundolo		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.05
	1.36	3.15
	1.41	3.19
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.15	Watch
	1.38	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)	3.19 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
70%

Daniel Evans
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	0%	37.1%

Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Evans will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Daniel Evans - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Daniel Evans - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Daniel Evans - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0

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