Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:15	Max
Croatia	11:15	Max
Czech Republic	11:15	Max
Denmark	11:15	Max
Finland	12:15	Max
France	11:15	Max
Hungary	11:15	Max
Norway	11:15	MAX
Poland	11:15	Max
Romania	12:15	Max
Slovenia	11:15	Max
Sweden	11:15	Max


	Kei Nishikori		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.03	1.44	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.61)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
32.5%

Tommy Paul
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Kei Nishikori - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Nishikori will win (votes: 12 - 31.6%). Paul will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 53.6% – 83.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 76. Paul is ranked ATP: 11.

Recent matches Nishikori is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Thiago Monteiro	3:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	Shang J. retired ✺
03.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WL?WW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Christopher OConnell - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.25	Tommy Paul - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
08.01.25	Tommy Paul - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Tommy Paul - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
04.08.17	Tommy Paul - Kei Nishikori	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Kei Nishikori - Tommy Paul