Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	01:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	02:40	HBO Max
Croatia	01:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:40	HBO Max
Denmark	01:40	HBO Max
Finland	02:40	HBO Max
France	01:40	HBO Max
Hungary	01:40	HBO Max
Moldova	02:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:40	HBO Max
Norway	01:40	HBO Max
Poland	01:40	HBO Max
Romania	02:40	HBO Max
Serbia	01:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:40	HBO Max
Spain	01:40	HBO Max
Sweden	01:40	HBO Max


	Roman Safiullin		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.29	1.32	Watch
	3.37	1.37
	3.39	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.43	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.03)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
28.5%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
71.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 94. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 27.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Safiullin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 68.17%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Roman Safiullin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Billy Harris - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired ✺
09.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
19.02.22	Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2

Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger