Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Roman Safiullin		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.67	1.55
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.17)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
35.6%

Luca Van Assche
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roman Safiullin's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Van Assche (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 226. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Safiullin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.34%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Felix Gill - Roman Safiullin	Gill F. Retired ✺
13.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Joao Dinis Silva	2:1
09.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WWLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
30.01.22	Luca Van Assche - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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